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Identifying long-term stable refugia for relict plant species in East Asia
Tang, Cindy Q.; Matsui, Tetsuya1; Ohashi, Haruka1; Dong, Yi-Fei; Momohara, Arata2; Herrando-Moraira, Sonia; Qian, Shenhua4; Yang, Yongchuan4; Ohsawa, Masahiko5; Luu, Hong Truong6; Grote, Paul J.; Krestov, Pavel, V8; LePage, Ben9,10; Werger, Marinus11; Robertson, Kevin12; Hobohm, Carsten13; Wang, Chong-Yun; Peng, Ming-Chun; Chen, Xi; Wang, Huan-Chong; Su, Wen-Hua; Zhou, Rui; Li, Shuaifeng15; He, Long-Yuan; Yan, Kai; Zhu, Ming-Yuan; Hu, Jun18; Yang, Ruo-Han; Li, Wang-Jun; Tomita, Mizuki21; Wu, Zhao-Lu; Yan, Hai-Zhong; Zhang, Guang-Fei; He, Hai22; Yi, Si-Rong; Gong, Hede24; Song, Kun25; Song, Ding26; Li, Xiao-Shuang; Zhang, Zhi-Ying; Han, Peng-Bin; Shen, Li-Qin; Huang, Diao-Shun; Luo, Kang28; Lopez-Pujol, Jordi

Today East Asia harbors many "relict" plant species whose ranges were much larger during the Paleogene-Neogene and earlier. The ecological and climatic conditions suitable for these relict species have not been identified. Here, we map the abundance and distribution patterns of relict species, showing high abundance in the humid subtropical/warm-temperate forest regions. We further use Ecological Niche Modeling to show that these patterns align with maps of climate refugia, and we predict species' chances of persistence given the future climatic changes expected for East Asia. By 2070, potentially suitable areas with high richness of relict species will decrease, although the areas as a whole will probably expand. We identify areas in southwestern China and northern Vietnam as long-term climatically stable refugia likely to preserve ancient lineages, highlighting areas that could be prioritized for conservation of such species.

Subject AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics
Indexed BySCI
WOS IDWOS:000448414100038
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Document Type期刊论文
Affiliation1.Yunnan Univ, Inst Ecol & Geobot, Kunming 650091, Yunnan, Peoples R China
2.Forest Res & Management Org, Forestry & Forest Prod Res Inst, Matsunosato 1, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058687, Japan
3.Chiba Univ, Grad Sch Hort, 648 Matsudo, Chiba 2718510, Japan
4.CSIC ICUB, IBB, Bot Inst Barcelona, Passeig Migdia S-N, Barcelona 08038, Catalonia, Spain
5.Chongqing Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Three Gorges Reservoir Reg Ecoenvironm, Chongqing 400045, Peoples R China
6.Nat Conservancy Soc Japan, Chuo Ku, Mitoyo Bldg 2F,1-16-10 Shinkawa, Tokyo 1040033, Japan
7.Vietnam Acad Sci & Technol, Southern Inst Ecol, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
8.Grote, Paul J.] Nakhon Ratchasima Rajabhat Univ, Northeastern Res Inst Petrified Wood & Mineral Re, Nakhon Ratchasima 30000, Thailand
9.Inst FEB RAS, Bot Garden, Makovskii Str 142, Vladivostok 690024, Russia
10.Pacific Gas & Elect Co, 3401 Crow Canyon Rd, San Ramon, CA 94583 USA
11.Acad Nat Sci, 1900 Benjamin Franklin Pkwy, Philadelphia, PA 19103 USA
12.Univ Utrecht, Plant Ecol & Biodivers, Dompl 29, NL-3512 JE Utrecht, Netherlands
13.Tall Timbers Res Stn & Land Conservancy, 13093 Henry Beadel Dr, Tallahassee, FL 32312 USA
14.Univ Flensburg, Interdisciplinary Inst Environm Social & Human St, Flensburg, Germany
15.Yunnan Univ, Inst Bot, Kunming 650091, Yunnan, Peoples R China
16.Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Resource Insects, Kunming 650224, Yunnan, Peoples R China
17.State Forestry Adm China, Kunming Inst Forestry Explorat & Design, Kunming 650216, Yunnan, Peoples R China
18.Kunming Inst Bot CAS, Ctr Mt Ecosyst Studies, Kunming 650204, Yunnan, Peoples R China
19.Chinese Acad Sci, Chengdu Inst Biol, CAS Key Lab Mt Ecol Restorat & Bioresource Utiliz, Key Lab Sichuan Prov, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, Peoples R China
20.Kunming Agrometeorol Stn Yunnan Prov, Kunming 650228, Yunnan, Peoples R China
21.Guizhou Univ Engn Sci, Bijie 551700, Peoples R China
22.Tokyo Univ Informat Sci, Wakaba Ku, 4-1 Onaridai, Chiba 2658501, Japan
23.Chongqing Normal Univ, Coll Life Sci, Chongqing 401331, Peoples R China
24.Chongqing Three Gorges Med Coll, Chongqing 404120, Peoples R China
25.Southwest China Forestry Univ, Sch Geog, Kunming 650224, Yunnan, Peoples R China
26.East China Normal Univ, Sch Ecol & Environm Sci, Shanghai 200241, Peoples R China
27.Kunming Univ Sci & Technol, Chenggong 650500, Peoples R China
28.Yunnan Acad Forestry, Kunming 650201, Yunnan, Peoples R China
29.Chinese Acad Sci, Ailaoshan Stn Subtrop Forest Ecosyst Studies, Natl Forest Ecosyst Res Stn Ailaoshan, Xishuangbanna Trop Bot Garden,Key Lab Trop Forest, Kunming 650091, Yunnan, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
Tang, Cindy Q.,Matsui, Tetsuya,Ohashi, Haruka,et al. Identifying long-term stable refugia for relict plant species in East Asia[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2018,9(x):-.
APA Tang, Cindy Q..,Matsui, Tetsuya.,Ohashi, Haruka.,Dong, Yi-Fei.,Momohara, Arata.,...&Lopez-Pujol, Jordi.(2018).Identifying long-term stable refugia for relict plant species in East Asia.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,9(x),-.
MLA Tang, Cindy Q.,et al."Identifying long-term stable refugia for relict plant species in East Asia".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 9.x(2018):-.
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